The Official 12/21 Storm Discussion Thread

[drjeff]

This one has some potential. We finally might have the cold air, moisture and storm track to get ALL of the Northeast ski country a decent snow event. That's all I'm saying.

Plus, I figure since I'm not going skiing this coming weekend, that significantly increases the chances of a good snow event!

 

[Zand]

12/21/08 Storm Speculation Thread

Looking to be the biggest of the 3 this week, but the track could make this one quite messy.

 

[andrec10]

It WILL snow on Sunday as I have to drive back from Whiteface. Son has GS races this weekend up there. 4.5 hour drive will = 6-7 hours. I dont mind, I get to try the new Michelin snows on the Tribeca!

 

[roark]

Plus, I figure since I'm not going skiing this coming weekend, that significantly increases the chances of a good snow event!

Same here. To top it off I have to drive to godfosaken Long Island (apologies to allskiing) through the system on Friday night. That makes it pretty much a lock in my book.

 

[WJenness]

Same here. To top it off I have to drive to godfosaken Long Island (apologies to allskiing) through the system on Friday night. That makes it pretty much a lock in my book.

There are only two places that top Long Island on my personal "Places I hate driving to" list.

2. Jersey, because if I take the GW bridge, it's backed up, and if I take the Tappan Zee, someone will lose a couch off their pickup halfway accross the bridge (I've taken this bridge four times, there has been a couch in the middle of the highway THREE TIMES).

1. Providence, RI. It is my personal opinion that Providence is the dirtiest, seediest city I've ever been to.

-w

 

[Euler]

Monday 12/22 is my 41st birthday. I've taken it off as a personal day and I'd like some snow as a present!!

 

[The Sneak]

1. Providence, RI. It is my personal opinion that Providence is the dirtiest, seediest city I've ever been to.
-w

Yeah guy, in 1977 maybe.

Been recently? Or to the East Side area?

 

[WJenness]

Yeah guy, in 1977 maybe.

Been recently? Or to the East Side area?

I'm there fairly frequently.

But I don't enjoy it.

Last I was there was two weeks ago to visit a friend up on College Hill.

And I was born in '81, so I can't speak to what it was like before I was born.

-w

 

[Puck it]

Accuweather (Not so Accurate) is calling for >7" at Sunapee and > 15" at Cannon from this storm. Keeping fingers crossed.

 

[SKIQUATTRO]

looking like a classic Nor'Easter set up, I think everyone will see some snow NYC possible 3-6 and more 6-12+ more north....intersting to watch this one develop....

 

[hardline]

where are you guys getting the data from?

 

[Puck it]

Accuweather now says 6" on Sunday night for Franconia. It changed since yesterday.

 

[Vortex]

I happen to have Monday off. Sunday turns in the am, watch the pats' game and ski powder on Monday. Life is good.

 

[billski]

where are you guys getting the data from?

here is one data point:

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/winter_wx.shtml

 

[billski]

I happen to have Monday off. Sunday turns in the am, watch the pats' game and ski powder on Monday. Life is good.

I'm thinking Monday right now. Sat/sunday have the complexities of family life mixed in. Who knows, maybe another wave on Sunday night!

 

[billski]

More info...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
353 AM EST WED DEC 17 2008

NYZ026>031-034-035-087-VTZ001>012-016>019-180900-
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CLINTON-
SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON-
WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-GRAND ISLE-
WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-ESSEX-WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-
WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND-WINDSOR-
EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN RUTLAND-
353 AM EST WED DEC 17 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK...CENTRAL
VERMONT...NORTHEAST VERMONT...NORTHWEST VERMONT AND SOUTHERN
VERMONT.

...

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST FROM THE OHIO VALLEY ON FRIDAY AND
PASS OFF THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM
WILL BRING A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL TO VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. THE HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY
TO OCCUR OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA.

ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST FROM THE OHIO VALLEY
ON SUNDAY...THEN REDEVELOP ALONG THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST
SUNDAY NIGHT. THE LOW WILL WILL THEN INTENSIFY AS IT HEADS
NORTHEAST INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES THROUGH MONDAY. THIS LOW
IS EXPECTED TO BRING ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL TO VERMONT
AND NORTHERN NEW YORK LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT...
CONTINUING INTO MONDAY MORNING.

Happy Dance...THANK YOU ULLR!!!

 

[KingM]

here is one data point:

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/winter_wx.shtml

Looks like they're giving the Berkshires and the Poconos 50/50 odds of getting a foot plus. That'd be great for you guys living in the deep south.

 

[billski]

Looks like they're giving the Berkshires and the Poconos 50/50 odds of getting a foot plus. That'd be great for you guys living in the deep south.

I could never keep my Poconos and Catskills straight.... :roll:

 

[KingM]

I could never keep my Poconos and Catskills straight.... :roll:

LOL. Neither can I, since I meant the Catskills. :roll:

 

[drjeff]

Granted it's just computer models right now, but the majority of them keep wanting to show this potential system STRONGLY shifting it's energy from it as it crosses basically Ohio to a new low roughly off Virginia which model wise wants to intesify RAPIDLY

Frankly as long as either of the next couple events DON'T bring any ice to the areas that got hit last week, that would be a GREAT thing.